
College Football 2025 Week 9 Odds: Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica’s Expert Picks and Best Bets
Updated Oct. 24, 2025, 6:50 p.m. ET
Chris Fallica, FOX Sports Wagering Expert
“Bear Bets” are real wagers that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is actually making. Last week wasn’t too shabby. Going .500 is nothing to complain about—especially with plenty of games left in the season. We have some exciting matchups this weekend, so check out where I’m putting my money for college football Week 9.
Last Week: 2–2
Season: 25-16-2
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No. 3 Texas A&M @ No. 20 LSU
In terms of expected points added (EPA), the only top-30 defense that Texas A&M has faced is Auburn. Predictably, that game resulted in season lows in points, yards, and yards per play. This week at LSU and next against Missouri will present a tougher challenge for the A&M offense. A loss here for the Tigers could set them up for a 7-5 finish, with tough road trips to Alabama and Oklahoma still ahead tamabet login registration. Win here, and they’ll head into the off week believing they can win out. We’ll see if the LSU defense can contain the Aggies without Whit Weeks. Until their win at Notre Dame, the Aggies struggled away from home against ranked teams. This game could indicate if they’ve truly turned the corner.
PICK: LSU (+2.5) to lose by fewer than 2.5 points or win outright.
NC State @ Pitt
The last time we saw NC State, they were down 10-7 against Notre Dame midway through the third quarter. Ultimately, three turnovers doomed them, and the game spiraled out of control. However, they still boast a win over Virginia. While the Panthers have recently thrived against the lower-tier teams in the ACC like Boston College, Florida State, and Syracuse, I believe CJ Bailey and the Pack have a legitimate shot at pulling off the outright win.
PICK: NC State (+6.5) to lose by fewer than 6.5 points or win outright. 9 to cm
SMU @ Wake Forest
The Deacons are coming off two dominant road victories—one with backup QB Deshawn Purdie leading the way. While the Mustangs have won 19 straight regular-season conference games, this feels like a bit of a trap game for SMU. They’re coming off a win at Clemson last week and will host Rhett Lashlee’s former team, Miami, next week. Wake Forest had a win over Georgia Tech snatched away from them due to a blatant offsides call and might just pull off an upset at home.
PICK: Wake Forest (+3) to lose by fewer than 3 points or win outright.
Stanford @ No. 9 Miami
After last week’s turnover-heavy loss to Louisville, Miami is in dire need of a victory. Enter Stanford, which is dealing with injuries at quarterback and on the offensive line. Keep in mind that the Cardinal lacks depth to begin with 5 tablespoon sugar to grams. tama family The Hurricanes haven’t been the most reliable as double-digit favorites recently, but given that Stanford has already lost by 24 to BYU, 28 to Virginia, and suffered another blowout by SMU, it seems reasonable for Miami to expect a win by at least 31 points this week.
PICK: Miami (-30) to win by more than 30 points.
Auburn @ Arkansas
If it wasn’t for bad luck, Auburn would have none at all. They’ve suffered four consecutive losses—three by single digits and one due to a dreadful officiating call when they led 10-0 but struggled on offense in the second half. Auburn is hinting at possible offensive changes this week, and Hugh Freeze has been quite vocal about seeking a vote of confidence from his athletic director. Now is the perfect time to support them against a struggling Arkansas defense that consistently finds ways to lose close games.
PICK: Auburn (+2.5) to lose by fewer than 2.5 points or win outright.
UNDERSDOGS TO PLAY ON THE MONEYLINE
Last Week: 1-5, -3.35
Season: 14-24, +4. tamang tama wish 107.5 live7
- NC State +200
- Wake Forest +140
- Colorado State +175
- Baylor +160
BEAR BYTES
No. 6 Oregon @ Wisconsin
Only two teams in the last 30 years have been shut out in three straight games: 2000 Baylor and 2006 Utah State. Wisconsin could join them Saturday.
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State
These teams have combined to win 12 of the last 14 FCS titles. They meet in Brookings, SD, on Saturday, both ranked No. 1 and No. 2 in the FCS.
No. 11 BYU @ Iowa State
For six consecutive years, a team with a 7-0 record or better has been an underdog against a team with at least two losses. In the last three years, the 7-0 underdog has won outright. Last year, 7-0 BYU was a 2-point underdog against 3-4 UCF and won 37-24.
No. 22 Texas @ Mississippi State
Texas has failed to cover each of its last five road games when favored by at least seven points.
Temple @ Tulsa
Temple hasn’t had more than four wins in a season since 2019 (when they had eight). The Owls aim for their fifth victory this week at Tulsa in K.C. Keeler’s first season.
SMU @ Wake Forest
Dating back to their time in the AAC, SMU has won 19 straight regular-season conference games. They are a 3.5-point favorite at Wake Forest on Saturday.
Minnesota @ Iowa
Over the last decade, the favorite has won and covered six times. The underdog has won outright three times, and there was one push, indicating that if you pick the winner, you’ll likely cover the spread (ATS) in nine out of ten games.
Auburn @ Arkansas
The last five matchups, eight of the last nine, and fourteen of the last sixteen games between Auburn have been decided by double digits. Nine of those sixteen were settled by at least twenty points.
Kansas State @ Kansas
K-State has won sixteen straight against Kansas. The last two encounters were decided by two and four points. The last Kansas coach to beat K-State was Mark Mangino in 2008.
No. 25 Michigan @ Michigan State
Michigan has triumphed in the last three meetings by a combined score of 102-24. The Wolverines haven’t won four straight over the Spartans since a six-game run from 2002-2007. If you’re considering an outright upset here for MSU, they’ve lost eleven straight games as a double-digit underdog, with a record of just one victory in their last seventeen attempts.
Cal @ Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech has lost five of its last seven games as a favorite and failed to cover six of those seven contests.
No. 23 Illinois @ Washington
Illinois is the third ranked team this season in a Power 4 matchup to be a road underdog of more than a field goal against an unranked team. Virginia won at Louisville in a similar situation three weeks ago, but these teams had lost fourteen consecutive games leading up to that victory, and have lost fifteen of their last sixteen similar matchups, including Arizona State’s loss at Utah two weeks ago.
No. 3 Texas A&M @ No. 20 LSU
Texas A&M’s upset win at Notre Dame snapped a 13-game road losing streak against ranked teams.
No. 15 Missouri @ No. 10 Vanderbilt
This will be Vanderbilt’s first game as a top-10 team since 1947. Historically, Missouri is 8-81 against top-10 opponents and holds a 1-18 record as an SEC member against top-10 SEC teams.
Chris “The Bear” Fallica has covered sports for nearly three decades. While college football has been his focus, he also enjoys watching the NFL, soccer, golf, tennis, MLB, NHL, and horse racing, with an “occasional” bet on these events. Chris recently won the inaugural Circa Football Invitational and finished in the Top 10 of the Golden Nugget Football Contest. He is also a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Remember, “The less you bet, the more you lose when you win!” Follow him on Twitter @chrisfallica.
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What do you think about these college football matchups and picks?